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Matt is on a SWEET 16-11-1 L28 NFL while going on a SOLID 15-9 Primetime Run! Additionally, he is on a +$33,015 NFL run going back to 2012! Week 12 card posted soon including Thanksgiving Day Winners!

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Matt is on a SWEET 16-11-1 L28 NFL while going on a SOLID 15-9 Primetime Run! Additionally, he is on a +$33,015 NFL run going back to 2012! Week 12 card posted soon including Thanksgiving Day Winners!

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Past Picks Show the last picks
DateW/LTypeHandicapper Selection
11/22/2020LOSERNFL
Fargo's 10* AFC West Game of the Year (+$33,015)

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Kansas City is coming off its bye week following four straight wins and we all know how good Andy Reid is coming off a bye week. The Chiefs are now 8-1 on the season and that lone loss was at home against Las Vegas so there will be a little extra in the tank for their division rival. The offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 2 overall and they lead the NFL in passing offense at 294.7 ypg. They will go up against a Raiders defense that in No. 25 against the pass and No. 21 overall. The Raiders have caught fire with three straight wins following a 1-3 stretch and they are now sitting at 6-3 and right in the think of the playoffs. They are outscoring opponents by just 1 ppg compared to 12 ppg for Kansas City so that is a huge disparity. Kansas City is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons while Las Vegas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 10* (471) Kansas City Chiefs

11/22/2020WINNERNFL
Fargo's NFL Sunday Enforcer (+$33,015 NFL)

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The improbable Miami turnaround continues as it has won five straight games to keep pace in the AFC East behind Buffalo. Tua Tagovailoa has won all three of his starts but the Dolphins were outgained badly against the Rams and Cardinals and outgained the Chargers by just seven yards last weekend. They have used an opportunistic defense as Miami is fourth in the league with 15 takeaways but while that has helped keep scoring down, the unit as a whole has not been great as the Dolphins are ranked No. 19 overall, No. 20 against the pass and No. 22 against the run. Miami is 25-44 when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. Denver has struggled to a 3-6 record including a pair of road losses against Las Vegas and Atlanta over its last two games. Denver is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival and 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a loss by 14 or more points. 9* (476) Denver Broncos

11/22/2020LOSERNFL
Fargo's NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator (+$33,015)

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is a revenge game for Baltimore after losing 28-12 against Tennessee in the AFC Divisional Round last season. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson had three turnovers in that loss and he has not been as sharp as he was earlier in the season but he squares off against a bad Tennessee defense that is ranked No. 25 overall. Baltimore leads the NFL in rushing offense at 164.0 ypg and getting that going here will be key. The Ravens are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against the AFC. Tennessee has lost three of its last four games with the lone win coming against a poor Chicago team. The most recent loss was against Indianapolis at home as the Titans lost by 17 points. Overall, Tennessee is getting outgained by an average of 24 ypg which may not seem significant but it is when the record is 6-3. The Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. 9* (466) Baltimore Ravens

11/21/2020WINNERCollege Football
Fargo's CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator (BLOWOUT)

This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Liberty is 8-0 which is its best start in program history, and it already has defeated ACC members Syracuse and Virginia Tech. The Flames offense has been potent from the start as they are ranked No. 18 in total offense and No. 16 in scoring offense. Malik Willis, who transferred from Auburn, has thrown for 15 touchdowns with just one interception and he has a team-high 700 rushing yards and nine of their 20 rushing touchdowns. They have outgained all eight opponents and have done so by 183 ypg. NC State snapped a two-game skid with a 38-22 win over Florida St. but it outgained the Seminoles by just 66 yards and the Wolfpack have been outgained in five of their eight games. Liberty is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games while NC State is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games against teams averaging 34 or more ppg. Here, we play on road underdogs that are outgaining their opponents by 125 or more ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 69-32 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (359) Liberty Flames

11/21/2020LOSERCollege Football
Fargo's 10* Big 12 Game of the Year (EASY WINNER)

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Oklahoma St. is off to a 5-1 start and has a great chance at getting revenge from five straight losses in this series. The Cowboys lone loss came against Texas in overtime which never should have happened as they outgained the Longhorns by 243 total yards but were hurt by a -4 turnover margin as well as allowing a 100-yard kickoff return. The Sooners started the season with two losses but have won and covered four straight games and that is playing into this line. Oklahoma leads the Big 12 in passing offense and total offense but Oklahoma St. is second in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense so the Sooners finally have a challenge. Though the series has often favored Oklahoma, the Sooners know that does not matter this year, especially with so much on the line and this is the best Oklahoma St. team they have faced in years but are still a touchdown favorite. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (401) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

11/21/2020WINNERCollege Football
Fargo's CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog (OUTRIGHT)

This is a play on the CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Cincinnati is off to a perfect start to the season and the recent dominance has skewed this line. The Bearcats have upped the pace offensively their past four outings, averaging a scoring margin of 46-13 in wins over SMU, Memphis, Houston and East Carolina. But those wins came over teams that are a combined 15-13 for the season, with SMU and Memphis accounting for 11 of the wins. UCF has won three in a row since dropping back-to-back games to Tulsa and Memphis and has averaged 44.3 ppg in its winning streak. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel has completed 63.3 percent of his passes for an average of 396.3 ypg which is No. 1 in the country with 23 touchdowns against only two interceptions. This is a dangerous team that can mess up the Bearcats playoff hopes. UCF is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 14 points or less last game Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that allow 8.0 or fewer ppg in the first half, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (344) Central Florida Knights

11/20/2020WINNERCollege Football
Fargo's 10* CFB Friday Enforcer (BLOWOUT)

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Air Force has been off since Halloween as it had to pull out of its past two games, at Army and at Wyoming, for similar reasons because of COVID-19. The Falcons are 1-2 as they have lost two straight games following a season opening rout over Navy. The practice to game ratio, approaching something in the neighborhood of 30 to 1, has tested the patience of everyone. This is a huge motivational advantage and we saw a similar situation with Wisconsin last week. Air Force leads the country in rushing at 330.0 ypg and while the Lobos have a solid rushing defense, this is by far their toughest test to date. New Mexico is 0-3 as they have been scorched on defense, allowing 491.7 ypg which is No. 116 in the country. The Lobos look to be limited on offense once again as junior starting quarterback Tevaka Tuioti has yet to gain clearance after sustaining a concussion against Hawaii on Nov. 7.Air Force is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games against teams allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc while New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win. Here, we play against road teams with a losing record coming off two covers where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Air Force Falcons

11/19/2020WINNERNFL
Fargo's 10* NFL Thursday Star Attraction 13-9 NFL

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Seattle let us down on Sunday as it scored a season low 16 points but it also allowed just 23 points which tied for a season low and with how the defense has been, that is a big deal against a solid Rams defense. The Seahawks have lost their last two games and three of their last four after a 5-0 start to the season. Russell Wilson has tried to do too much bit it should be scaled back here. In 2018, when the Seahawks passed on fewer than half their plays, he had the best passer rating of his career (110.9) and was fourth in the league in touchdown passes (35). Expect a heavy run game against the Cardinals which are very average against the run. The return of running back Chris Carson is huge. The Cardinals beat the Bills 32-30 last week as Kyler Murray connected with DeAndre Hopkins for a 43-yard Hail Mary touchdown pass with 2 seconds left in the game. Arizona has won for of its last five games to take over first place in the NFC West but this is not a good spot coming off that miracle and facing a desperate Seahawks team. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive losses while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Seattle Seahawks

11/18/2020LOSERCollege Football
Fargo's 10* CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator

This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Western Michigan is coming off an improbable win against Toledo as it trailed 38-28 with less than three minutes remaining, scoring a touchdown with 45 seconds left and then recovered the ensuing onside kick and then faked a clock killing spike for the go-ahead score. The Broncos are 2-0 and while the offense is humming, the defense looks to be short-handed as they hope to get starting defensive ends Ali Fayad (calf) and Andre Carter (ankle) back from injuries, but both players are doubtful. The Chippewas have been playing just as well through two weeks as they beat visiting Ohio 30-27 in Week One before crushing Northern Illinois 40-10 on the road last week. Central Michigan has a great running game, averaging 210.5 ypg and with the Broncos ends out, it could have a really big night. Central Michigan is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games while Western Michigan is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after a win by three or less points. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (314) Central Michigan Chippewas

11/17/2020WINNERCollege Football
Fargo's 10* CFB Tuesday Enforcer (MAC is Back)

This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Akron has lost its first two games of the season and has now lost an amazing 19 straight games going back to 2018. The Zips did have a solid effort last time out against Ohio as they actually won the yardage battle but committed three turnovers and that will be an issue going on with a freshman quarterback to go along with four freshmen offensive linemen. They will struggle here as Kent St. leads the MAC with just 173.0 passing ypg allowed and ranks fifth with 160.5 rushing ypg allowed. The Golden Flashes have opened the season 2-0 and have won seven straight games dating back to last season. Kent St. is leading the MAC in total offense, rushing offense, and passing offense, averaging 549.0 ypg to go along with 44.5 ppg. Akron is giving up 7.3 yppl, the second-worst mark in the MAC, and the Zips defense will have its hands full trying to slow down a Golden Flashes offense that can it do on the ground or through the air. Akron is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after two or more consecutive straight up losses while Kent St. is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Kent St. Golden Flashes

Past Articles
The Masters Preview 11/10/2020